Democrats have a 1-in-3 chance of winning the Senate majority this November, according to FiveThirtyEight’s just-launched 2018 Senate forecast. Republicans have a 2-in-3 chance of keeping control. Unlike in the race for the House of Representatives, in which Democrats are favored, they’re fighting uphill in the upper chamber. The FiveThirtyEight Senate model produces probabilistic forecasts, as opposed to hard-and-fast predictions about who will win or lose, using a statistical model that looks at polls of each race, fundraising, how each state has voted historically and more. In the same way that a weather forecaster might tell you there’s a 70 percent chance of rain tomorrow, the FiveThirtyEight model estimates the chances of each candidate winning in every Senate race on the ballot this year. It will update continuously up until Election Day. Check out the full forecast for details about each race. And you can read more about how the forecast is calculated here....


20


ABC

Latest News

Times of Israel: Jewish Hungarian author and dissident Gyorgy Konrad dies, aged 86

Times of Israel: Helicopters scramble after unidentified paraglider seen over Zichron Yaakov

Times of Israel: Gaza group claims it shot down IDF drone, but may have hit Islamic Jihad one

Times of Israel: PM combative in final TV appeal, evasive on reining in judges to escape charges

Times of Israel: Egypt’s Sissi dismisses corruption allegations

Times of Israel: Vandals paint swastikas on British World War II graves in Netherlands

Times of Israel: Dozens of Palestinians reported hurt in West Bank clash

Times of Israel: US blames Iran after attacks on Saudi oil facilities cripple production

Times of Israel: Iran says soccer fan who lit herself on fire admitted ‘mistake’

Times of Israel: With combative interview, Netanyahu tries to have his media and eat it too

Times of Israel: Jewish professor claims Pace University ousted him over his faith

Times of Israel: Does Israel spy on the US? Depends who you are listening to

Times of Israel: French right-wing power couple sentenced in massive tax fraud case

Times of Israel: Freud’s fetish for ancient Egyptology unveiled in new exhibit

Times of Israel: Drug companies ask to dismiss federal judge trying opioid cases

Jpost: iCAN Connect brings together Israeli cannabis startups big and small

Jpost: Bernie Sanders chose Linda Sarsour: Can Jews overlook her views on Israel?

Jpost: Felicity Huffman sentenced to 14 days in prison

Jpost: A personal journey through China

Jpost: The Tell: Bolton is out, Trump’s next foreign policy moves anyone’s guess

Jpost: Netanyahu calls for emergency meeting on election fraud

Jpost: Right-wing activist attacks Yair Golan at event

Jpost: Final polls show PM on verge of majority

13 Related Articles from 2018-09-12